Statistical Analysis of Incidence of HIV/AIDS Pandemic in Nigeria From 1996 – 2005 Chapter One AIMS AND OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY To find how the pandemic affect different

Statistical Analysis of Incidence of HIV/AIDS Pandemic in Nigeria From 1996 – 2005

Chapter One

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

1. To find how the pandemic affect different age classes and class making the highest contribution toward the measuring response.
2. To determine if the HIV/AIDS cases occur more in females than males
3. To establish the trend of reported cases of HIV/AIDS pandemic in Nigeria
4. To forecast the expected number of HIV/AIDS victims in Nigeria in the next three (3) years.
5. To infer valid conclusion about HIV/AIDS in Nigeria and make necessary recommendation in a way to further reducing it.

CHAPTER TWO

  LITERATURE REVIEW

Nigeria donbted the existence of HIV/AIDS for some years after the discovery of its presence in 1981.

The physical effect notwithstanding some attributed unsightly appearance of victims in the mass media to propaganda by the Western World to stop them from enjoying sex.

Government to was hukewarm toward evolving a clear policy thrust to tackle the pandemic which has affected and killed million.  However, the current real campaign against the disease become necessary following the alarming effect on the population, tested and verified cases.

Nigeria with a population of 112, 156, 197 in 1999 had in infection ralt of 0.02 per minute.  The former Minister Of Health Dr. Tim Menakaya to the 44th National Council on Health (NCH) October 7, 1999.  That by the joint Nations Programme on Aids (UNAIDS) one Nigerian is infected every minute of 24 hours a day.

He also stressed the need for political support believing Dr. J.O.A. Abulaka of Mediorest specialist Hospital, Gwagwala, Abuja among other claims of cure for HIV/AIDS could only be supported after scientific verification. This he did on National Television Programme Newsline, to clarify government position following controversy on the veracity of the Abalaka’s claim.  This can be viewed in the light of social health and economic conflicts, HIV/AIDS has unleashed on the Nigeria population.  The expectation therefore from primary health care and disease control, federal ministry of health responsible for grass root health provisions was an increased awareness campaign.

This awareness did not go beyond advocating the use of condom or abstinence.  But the repeated escalation of the pandemic and out cry by the public, experts and international organization woke government from its bureaucratic compliance.  The former Minister of Health, Professor Debo Adeyemi at the 43rd Nigerian Council on Health Conference Bauchi, October 1998, maintained government philosophy of social justice.  This amongst others include bright, full and equal opportunities for all, including HIV/AIDS patients. T his might in the light of basic freedom in a democratic Nigeria oppose the theme by joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS).  It was termed “force for change, world AIDS campaign with young”.  However, viewed and despite controversy in government, private or individual efforts to fight the disease generally is high.  But there have not enough mobilization of youth energy in the fight against HIV/AIDS. Of course, relying on data effective on health social and economic indices in the country, one is certain about lack of youth co-operation.

A state of complete physical, mental and social well being marks the absence of disease or disability, therefore an individual is termed healthy.  By estimation about 750,000 mother – to – child infection of HIV occur globally annually.  Therefore, Nigerians is under serious threat from birth. The sub – Sahara African rates higher at 15 – 40% with the possible means of transmission through uterus, during delivery and breast-feeding.  The baby risk premature delivery, coupled with maternal included HIV diseases.

Controversial and dangerous statistics courtesy of the world AIDS campaign 2003/2004 substantiate the utmost need for the theme “face for change”.  These followed a joint ministerial press briefing attended by the ministers of Health, Education, Youth and Sports, Women Affairs and Social Development, also hosting information and culture.  The ministerial array recognized endangered young people age 15 – 24, representing 1/3rd of 33 million ill-hearted people worldwide.

Given this scenario, there are bound to be pressure in developing countries so reported, (Uganda, Zimbabwe, Kenya and Zambia etc) implying Nigeria also.  There are relevant exposition on sub-Saharan Africa reputed as way be one of the most infested region of the world. &n

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